Yudkowsky Critiques P(doom) for Conflating Two Probabilities

AI safety figure Eliezer Yudkowsky explained his dislike of the "P(doom)" concept, arguing it conflates the probability that ASI arrives with the probability that ASI causes ruin. He maintained that ASI built with current techniques would inevitably lead to destruction.

2026-09-21 ~ 2026-09-21 · 2 related posts

• Yudkowsky: ASI built with current techniques means ruin; P(doom) conflates two probabilities — ESYudkowsky · 2026-09-21
• Yudkowsky Rejects P(doom): It Conflates P(ASI) With P(ruin|ASI) — jankulveit · 2026-09-21