Accurately predicting today's AI two years ago would have been dismissed as sci-fi hype

A viral discussion asks whether accurately predicting today's AI capabilities two years ago would have been dismissed as sci-fi hype. Respondents note hindsight bias distorts such judgments, and safety researcher David Manheim confirms AI risk warnings, including his work on AI×bio, have long faced exactly this reception.

2026-09-08 ~ 2026-09-08 · 3 related posts

• Would predictions of today's AI models two years ago have been dismissed as sci-fi hype? — AndyMasley · 2026-09-08
• Hindsight bias warps how we judge two-year-old AI predictions — itaisher · 2026-09-08
• Researcher: AI Loss-of-Control Risks Still Dismissed as Sci-Fi, Even After HF Hack — davidmanheim · 2026-09-08