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Musk's Prediction of GPT-6 Reaching Human Intelligence Sparks Debate
Elon Musk's old prediction that GPT-6 will rival human intelligence resurfaced, prompting AI practitioners to refute the claim using recent model benchmark data.
2026-07-23 ~ 2026-07-24 · 2 episodes · 5 posts
Episode 1 · Practitioner Rebuts Musk: GPT-6 Far From Human-Level Intelligence (2026-07-23, 2 posts)
Josh Purtell rebuts Elon Musk's prediction, arguing that GPT-6 is far from matching the smartest humans. Citing WISC scores of around 130 IQ, he suggests the rumored model scale still falls short.
- Josh Purtell says GPT-6 still looks far from Musk’s smartest-human forecast — JoshPurtell · 2026-07-23
- Reply thread says rumored GPT-6 may already be big enough to challenge RSI forecasts — JoshPurtell · 2026-07-23
Episode 2 · Musk's Old Prediction About GPT-5 Matching Human Intelligence Resurfaces (2026-07-23, 3 posts)
Elon Musk's 2020 tweet predicting that GPT-5 or GPT-6 could match the intelligence of the smartest humans has resurfaced. With advanced models demonstrating impressive capabilities, the community now believes his once-bold prediction is becoming a reality.
- Musk says GPT-5 or GPT-6 could be indistinguishable from the smartest humans — kevinnbass · 2026-07-23
- Elon Musk’s 2020 OpenAI tweet resurfaces as people joke about GPT-5.6 — SkyNo7576 · 2026-07-23
- Musk’s old GPT-5/6 prediction looks less crazy now, but GPT-7 still seems needed — haider1 · 2026-07-24