Keith Rabois pays $200K after losing bet on SF: Cursor sold at $60B, Anthropic to exit above $1T

garrytan · x · 2026-11-15

The bets between Keith Rabois and pitdesi are settled. One wager said no SF-based company founded between March 2020 and Sept 2023 would exit above $10B — but Cursor sold for $60B and Anthropic is set to exit above $1T. Garry Tan notes Bay Area startups are 2.5x more likely to hit $1B valuations.

Related event: Rabois pays $200K after Cursor's $60B sale loses SF startup bet(2 posts)→

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