AIFP Forecasters Converge on Top-Expert AI Arriving by 2027-2028
Traditional-Chip8339 · reddit · 2026-11-15
A Substack update rounds up AIFP (AI Futures Project) timeline revisions: over the past 18 months its forecasters have steadily pulled forward their estimates for 'Top-Expert-Dominating AI.' The chart shows Eli narrowing from 2031-2035 to Sep 2028, Thomas from 2031-2033 to late 2028, Daniel holding at Sep 2027, and newer forecasters Romeo and Brendan landing near 2028. The author argues the 'intelligence explosion in 2027' scenario is once again the consensus, with all five now clustered between Sep 2027 and Sep 2028.
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