Fed survey: AI-adopting firms' revenue growth outlook net gap hits 48.2 pts, 2x+ non-adopters

AccBalanced · x · 2026-11-15

The Federal Reserve Banks' 2025 Small Business Credit Survey shows AI-adopting US firms are far more optimistic: the net balance of firms expecting revenue gains over the next 12 months is 48.2 percentage points, versus just 20.6 points among non-adopters — less than half. For employment, the gap is 32.7 points for AI users versus 15.2 for non-users. The differences persist even after controlling for firm characteristics, owner demographics, and prior-year revenue and employment changes.

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