Back-of-envelope calc suggests frontier lab compute grids are plausible 10x scale

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-11-15

teortaxesTex amplifies Mert Gulsun's speculative back-of-the-envelope calculation combining public compute estimates and capability data to guess axis scales, concluding grids at 10x scale seem plausible. Full calculation thread linked; explicitly flagged as personal, highly speculative, and probably erroneous.

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