Keith Rabois pays $200K after losing bet as Cursor sells at $60B and Anthropic nears $1T
NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-11-15
In September 2023, 8VC founder Keith Rabois bet Sheel Mohnot that no SF-based VC-backed company founded between March 2020 and September 2023 would exit above $10B. The bet has now settled: Cursor sold for $60B and Anthropic is set to exit above $1T, so Rabois wired $200,000 to Mohnot via Mercury (screenshot in post). Mohnot had also added a $100K side bet on House election outcomes. A vivid anecdote about the scale of AI-era valuations.
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