SpaceX's Quadrillion-Dollar Path: ~25,000 Starship Flights for 250GW of Space Compute

RachelVT42 · x · 2026-11-15

A back-of-envelope math thread works out what a quadrillion-dollar SpaceX market cap would require: $10T in earnings at 100 P/E, translating at current compute prices ($50B/GW, 80% space margin after depreciation) to roughly 250GW of orbital compute — or about 25,000 Starship flights, feasible at 100 launches per week. A concrete-numbers take on the space datacenter narrative.

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