The Starship math: 25,000 flights to deploy 250GW of space compute
JOBhakdi · x · 2026-11-15
A tongue-in-cheek back-of-envelope on SpaceX's path to a quadrillion-dollar market cap: $10T in earnings at 100x P/E. At current compute pricing ($50B/GW, 80% margin in space after depreciation), that equals roughly 250GW of space compute, requiring 25,000 Starship flights. At 100 launches per week that's achievable in 5 years, and Pioneerlands projects SpaceX hitting that flight count by 2038. The author argues 100x P/E is conservative given the eventual Dyson-swarm outlook.
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