Polymarket gives Tesla California robotaxi launch by Dec 31 just 6% odds
Polymarket · x · 2026-11-15
Polymarket launched a market on whether Tesla will launch robotaxis in California by December 31, currently pricing at just 6% with $14,047 in volume. The bearish odds came despite Elon Musk announcing that Cybercab received regulatory approval and will be available nationwide — traders clearly doubt the California expansion timeline.
More from Venture
- Pundit likens possible Huang exit to Microsoft antitrust moment as rivals circle Nvidia — TiernanRayTech · 2026-11-15
- Anthropic S-1: models older than six months earn under 20% of revenue — every · 2026-11-15
- Dev claims first profitable AI companion app at scale, 3x bigger than Instinct — Scobleizer · 2026-11-15
- Analyst warns of hyperscaler monopoly: NVIDIA loses pricing power, startup funding dries up — BenBajarin · 2026-11-15
- Rival charges $40K/month per forward-deployed engineer; this shop does it with 1.5 people plus agents — alex_verem · 2026-11-15
- Dodo Payments is winding down developer accounts with no reason given, even at $2.5k MRR — kingslyj · 2026-11-15