Anthropic reportedly achieves ~25x year-over-year pretraining compute efficiency gains

sytelus · x · 2026-11-14

sytelus cautions against multiplying flops by a multiplier to estimate training compute. His takeaway from the plot: Anthropic has achieved roughly 25x year-over-year pretraining compute efficiency gains, though the polynomial nature of the curve suggests the headline multiple should be discounted.

Related event: Leaked Anthropic IPO Slide Shows Superexponential Gains in Pretraining Compute Efficiency(12 posts)→

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