Garry Tan's 52-task eval: Fable 5.2 matches Opus 5.5 on pass rate but costs 2.80x more

garrytan · x · 2026-11-14

Garry Tan ran 52 Terminal-Bench 2.1 coding tasks in Claude Code 2.1.322 (2 tries each): Fable 5.2 solved 82.7% vs Opus 5.5's 84.6% — statistically indistinguishable — but at 2.80x the cost per solved task (CI 2.05x–3.99x).

Cost breakdown from the chart: Opus 5.5 solves tasks at about $0.65 each, Fable 5.2 at $1.83, and Fable 5.1 at $2.56 with only a 75% pass rate. His advice: keep Opus 5.5 as your Claude Code coding default; telling the two apart will require harder task sets.

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