Mega funds take 72% of VC money in 2026, small uncertainty-embracing funds may win next decade

arian_ghashghai · x · 2026-11-14

A Colossus essay argues VC is "dead again": funds over $1B captured 72% of all venture money raised in 2026 so far, up from 34% last year and 16% a decade ago. Even Benchmark caved—five partners raised $425M in 2024 and $2B this June. When capital per partner balloons, funds either make bad deals or avoid uncertainty. History is rhyming: Lightspeed raised $750M+ to buy and retrofit companies with AI, Thrive is buying ADT for $7.6B, and first-time funds hit a record-low 10.9% of VC raised in 2025. The 1980s analog suggests small funds embracing uncertainty—like 1517 Fund, Boost VC, Earthling VC—are the ones to watch.

Related event: Mega-Funds Capture 72% of Venture Capital(2 posts)→

Original post →

More from Venture

Venture channel →