Leaked Anthropic roadshow slide shows superexponential algorithmic progress; critics say it's mostly data

sebkrier · x · 2026-11-14

A former Anthropic employee says a slide from the IPO roadshow showing pretraining compute efficiency (log scale) improving superexponentially over time was a big factor in his decision to leave — Mythos was just a point on that curve and could be retrained with a fraction of the original compute. Adam Karvonen pushes back, arguing terms like "compute multiplier" and "algorithmic improvements" are a psyop hiding that most gains are data-related.

Related event: Anthropic IPO Slide Shows Superexponential Gains in Pretraining Compute Efficiency(4 posts)→

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