AI Builder Pushes Back on AGI-2027: Jaggedness Persists, Models Still Ignore Simple Instructions

ChrisGPT · x · 2026-11-14

Responding to Leopold Aschenbrenner's claim that AGI by 2027 is plausible via straight-line extrapolation, the author argues jaggedness persists: even highly capable models like Fable 5.2 fail to follow simple directions in animation tasks. They want a real epistemic continual-learning harness or parametric learning stack, and concede these gaps could plausibly be solved by 2027.

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