Alan Thompson memo: 18 models in 13 days, Gemini 4 elements, RLI heading to 98%
dralandthompson · x · 2026-11-14
Highlights from LifeArchitect.ai's The Memo (Nov 13, 2026):
- Gemini 4 named after chemical elements: Pro tier has released Argon (Sep 30) and Carbon (Nov 10), with Krypton next; Flash tier released Hydrogen (Nov 12).
- Compute mix shift: citing SemiAnalysis, pretraining fell from 67% (2024) to 7% (2026) while RL climbed to 55% and inference to 38% — RL reuses the base model, enabling the rapid release cadence.
- Remote Labor Index forecast: a chart based on Epoch data suggests frontier models are on track to hit 98% on RLI (real paid freelance work: design, data analysis, video editing, reports) by May 2027 — "AI can do almost any laptop job."
- Dario Amodei (Nov 10): cancer, Alzheimer's, heart disease and mental illness will be "relics of the past" in under a decade — an "age of miracles."
- 18 model releases in 13 days, roughly one every 17 hours.
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