Chart: post-METR-breakpoint progress accelerates 1.6x per spending doubling toward runaway RSI
sebkrier · x · 2026-11-14
Michael Wiebe shares a chart from Reuters' Cheryl Woooo illustrating what AI takeoff could look like: plotting progress against cumulative R&D spend since 2024, gains rise +8.2 points per doubling up to the METR breakpoint (Q3 2025), then +12.9 points (1.6x) after — extrapolating to a steep 2026 curve approaching an illustrative runaway-RSI line.
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