Dean Ball: Extinction odds are vanishingly low, but disempowerment is the likelier risk
ShakeelHashim · x · 2026-11-14
Dean Ball finds p(doom) a bit silly and memey; he personally defines doom as literal human extinction and believes the odds are vanishingly low.
However, he warns that fixating on extinction creates a strawman that makes it easy to dismiss AI safetyism, causing many to ignore far likelier bad outcomes such as human disempowerment.
More from AGI Musings
- One snack question cuts job applications by 60% as AI-generated replies exposed — jwt0625 · 2026-11-14
- Breaking up AI labs wouldn't hurt: Standard Oil split tripled Rockefeller's fortune to $900M — krishnan · 2026-11-14
- Andy Masley: most objections to AI art are really objections to the creator's taste — AndyMasley · 2026-11-14
- Project Zero overhauls disclosure policy: AI made the 90+30-day timeline insufficient — ifsecure · 2026-11-14
- Terence Tao: math has moved from proof scarcity to proof abundance — haider1 · 2026-11-14
- 'Messy Jobs' makes Bloomberg's best books of 2026, with praise from Orszag and Brynjolfsson — TaniaBabina · 2026-11-14