1.26M blind votes show users judge AI more harshly each month — models aren't declining

rohanpaul_ai · x · 2026-11-14

An analysis of 1,260,967 blind Chatbot Arena votes (May 2023–Aug 2024) on frozen model pairs finds 'both are bad' votes rise 1.71 percentage points per month off a 17.1% mean (1.91 pts/month in 2024), while stronger models' win shares stay flat. Conclusion: user standards are rising, not model quality declining — with implications for leaderboards and human feedback used in training. Paper: 'AI Isn't Getting Dumber, We're Getting Pickier.'

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