Each 10x in compute buys roughly 10x longer AI time horizons, elasticity near 1
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-11-13
benjtodd cites Basil Halperin's analysis: a 10x increase in total compute translates very roughly into a 10x increase in AI task time horizons, since 10x compute enables RL on tasks that take 10x longer. The underlying graph shows an elasticity of 1 holding across 3 orders of magnitude.
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