Analyst argues labs already run Blackwell stacks, with 3-6x smuggling premium

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-11-13

teortaxesTex infers that leading labs already have functioning Blackwell training stacks — citing DeepSeek's TileLang/DeepInfer releases, which explicitly support Blackwell and Ascend but not Hopper.

He believes the 'multi-billion expenditures' are real but carry a 3-6x smuggling premium; without it, spending would already be in the $200B active regime. He finds the effective scale disappointing relative to headline numbers.

Related event: Claims that major Chinese models train on Blackwell chips draw scrutiny over scale(6 posts)→

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