METR data on Anthropic employee speedups validates vibe-testing, says Mollick

emollick · x · 2026-11-13

Ethan Mollick comments on METR's research inside Anthropic: employees' self-reported individual speedups from AI climb steeply over time (roughly 1.3× in early 2025 to 3×–12× by 2026), with an exponential fit of about 3.9×/year.

His key point: the quality of this informal survey data validates vibe-testing — consistent with his experience of Anthropic models and AI consensus on X. He calls 3.7 Sonnet the most obviously above-expectation model of 2025.

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