Polymarket puts 68% odds on Tesla-SpaceX merger by end of 2027

Polymarket · x · 2026-11-13

On Polymarket, contracts for a Tesla-SpaceX merger announced by December 2027 now trade at 68%. The surge follows Elon Musk confirming on SpaceX's late-October earnings call that both companies formed independent special committees to explore a merger, citing synergies in AI, superintelligence software, Terafab chip production, robotics, and orbital data centers. Musk stressed no terms are agreed and he is excluded due to conflicts; any deal still needs majority approval from all outstanding Tesla shares.

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