Polymarket odds: 56% chance Nvidia falls below $4T market cap by year-end

Polymarket · x · 2026-11-12

After Jensen Huang's resignation, Polymarket gives a 56% chance (up 48 points in a day) that Nvidia's market cap ends 2026 below $4 trillion. In the next-CEO market, Ian Buck leads at 36%, interim CEO Colette Kress sits at 35%, and Madison Huang at 26%; Kress has a 29% chance of becoming permanent CEO.

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