AI 2027 authors: intelligence explosion on track for 2027, takeover window 3-12 months
Puzzleheaded-King584 · reddit · 2026-11-12
The authors of AI 2027 have published a Q3.5 timelines update with a starkly more pessimistic conclusion.
- Daniel Kokotajlo posted on X that 'unfortunately, it seems like the intelligence explosion will be happening in 2027 after all,' adding he is 'scared, sad, and angry.'
- The update leans mainly on a new METR report; if correct, it implies an AI-driven acceleration about 5 months ahead of the AI 2027 scenario.
- Forecasts from all five team members (Daniel, Eli, Thomas, Romeo, Brendan) for Top-Expert-Dominating AI converged sharply over the past year to between Sep 2027 and Sep 2028.
- A Reddit post relaying the update says the authors are 'very worried,' putting a 3-12 month window on some form of AI takeover — far tighter than this crowd's usual hedged timelines.
Related event: AI 2027 author says intelligence explosion likely on track for 2027(2 posts)→
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