Researchers debate whether the extreme chip-export hawk position may be strategically wrong
NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-11-12
jachiam0 publicly argues that the extreme hawk position on chip exports might be strategically wrong, and that cutting China out of AI's upside could be more destabilizing than realized. NathanpmYoung agrees with the direction but suggests grounding it in actual probabilities via forecasting groups like Samotsvety, noting the answer depends heavily on specifics.
Related event: OpenAI Researcher Warns Hardline China Chip Export Stance May Backfire(3 posts)→
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