LessWrong: Why AGI Safety Strategy Needs Scenario-Based Strategic Foresight
JacquesThibs · x · 2026-11-12
In a LessWrong post, jacquesthibs argues AGI governance work should adopt strategic foresight: imagine multiple plausible futures, read weak signals, and prepare policy documents and action plans for each scenario.
- The goal is robustness: be resilient to plausible disasters and positioned to seize "golden opportunities" rather than betting on one timeline
- The post covers what strategic foresight is, why it fits AGI risk, and how to adapt existing methods
Sharing it, the author notes the future is often unpredictable, so more effort should go into scenario planning.
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