'This was AFTER GPT-3': why failing to see new things makes you useless at prediction
repligate · x · 2026-11-12
repligate reflects: "This was AFTER GPT-3. Not being able to see new things on their own terms makes you USELESS at predicting the future in times like this" — arguing that people who dismissed GPT-3 back then misjudged the trajectory, and the same blindness to frontier capabilities leads to bad forecasts today.
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