Two ways software progress in pretraining counts as evidence that AI task speed is accelerating

datagenproc · x · 2026-11-12

datagenproc frames two interpretations for pretraining-software, inference-efficiency, or data-efficiency gains: (1) they are intermediate factors in the (compute, data, labor) → AECI production function, so acceleration hints future acceleration but is hard to update on without knowing the function; (2) they are themselves well-specified tasks, so their rapid gains are early evidence of how fast such tasks can get when seriously attempted.

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