METR estimates AI nearly doubles Anthropic's research pace; superforecaster moves SAIR median to 2027

SydSteyerhart · x · 2026-11-11

Quoting prominent superforecaster Eli Lifland: METR estimates AI has accelerated Anthropic's research progress by nearly 2x. Lifland calls this a big deal—his median timeline for Superhuman AI Researcher moves from 2030 to 2027, adding he's worried humanity may lose control of its future within 3-12 months.

Related event: METR Report Sparks Intelligence Explosion Debate as AI 2027 Team Moves Timelines to 2027(45 posts)→

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