Commenter: AI Futures bets ~half its probability on near-ASI in 2027
WendyPatriot · x · 2026-11-11
Reacting to the AI Futures report's 35-65% forecast for TED-AI (AI automating all white-collar work) before 2028, WendyPatriot notes this effectively bets half its Bayesian points on near-ASI in 2027, arguing a miss should prompt a large rethink among the short-timelines crowd — and that the moment of truth is now very close.