Nobody knows how to align superhuman models, and safety is far behind capability

MatthewJBar · x · 2026-11-11

Matthew Burt restates the field's dominant position: safety progress is extremely far behind capability progress, a gap even lab leadership has publicly acknowledged. His core claim is blunt—nobody knows how to align superhuman models, or even current models.

He points to a 2024 FT chart by @soundboy that he believes still accurately captures the capability-safety gap. The thread drew a response from Marius Hobbhahn arguing we have a recipe for capability but not for robust safety.

Related event: Safety Researchers Say Alignment Lags Far Behind Capabilities(4 posts)→

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