Manheim: knowledge-only recovery caps near 1950 tech before chip dependencies slow it down

davidmanheim · x · 2026-11-11

davidmanheim adds to Wes Pegden's thought experiment: even once population recovers enough to support industry, technology would only get back to roughly 1950 levels; beyond that, speedup slows to about 2x historical rates, since tech-tree dependencies and layered iterative processes require powerful microchips to keep improving.

Related event: Manheim responds to Pegden: knowledge rebuilds industry but only to 1950s level(2 posts)→

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