Why batch size decides PPO vs GRPO: a directional bias-variance view

stochasticchasm · x · 2026-11-11

A research thread introducing a directional bias-variance tradeoff view of policy gradient advantage estimators. Each estimator is characterized by alignment c (cosine similarity between its expected gradient and the true policy gradient) and noise scale ν (single-trajectory gradient variance relative to the squared norm of the expected gradient), yielding E[cos(ĝB, g)] ≈ c/√(1+ν/B). Since PPO typically has lower alignment and noise scale than GRPO, this explains why PPO wins at small batch sizes while GRPO wins at large ones.

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