Why 'the next six months will be weird' AI predictions keep falling flat
sebkrier · x · 2026-11-11
A recurring prediction in AI circles — "the next six months will be very weird" — has been half right: AI capabilities did advance rapidly, but things never feel as weird as expected because humans are far more adaptable than assumed. sebkrier notes daily agent use now feels normal, and he expects the same pattern even for qualitative shifts like interacting with many AI agents regularly, drawing parallels to how people adapted to lockdowns.
- Predictions were right on capability progress, wrong on societal disorientation
- Agents in daily use already feel mundane; "if anything they're not good enough"
- Even agent-heavy futures likely won't be as jarring as forecast
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