AI safety community accused of reputation-driven opinion cascade on thin evidence

sebkrier · x · 2026-11-11

David SJ argues the AI safety community has updated massively on relatively little incremental evidence, largely due to a reputation-based opinion cascade — people deferring to respected figures rather than weighing evidence independently. Seb Krier amplified the take, echoing Miles Brundage's criticism amid the METR report redactions controversy.

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