METR report read as evidence intelligence explosion lands in 2027, 5 months ahead of AI 2027 scenario
rgblong · x · 2026-11-11
Analyzing the new METR report, Daniel Kokotajlo concludes the intelligence explosion will happen in 2027 after all — implying an AI-driven acceleration 5 months ahead of his "AI 2027" scenario. "I am scared, sad, and angry," he writes.
Former OpenAI researcher Rosie Campbell quotes it admitting her gut reaction is "nah, things will basically stay the same" — but she calls that a cognitive bias she shouldn't trust, as evidence increasingly points to things getting very crazy much faster than expected.
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