Polymarket puts 11% odds on a US AI safety bill passing this year
Polymarket · x · 2026-11-11
Polymarket launched prediction markets on whether the US enacts an AI safety bill: 10-11% by end of 2026, 83% by June 2027. Qualifying legislation must impose bans/mandatory federal review, training restrictions (data/compute/parameter caps), usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements on AI developers; voluntary submissions don't count.
Related event: Polymarket Sees Only 11% Chance of US AI Safety Bill This Year(2 posts)→
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