Critique of AI safety discourse: perpetual '10% chance' warnings, never concrete scenarios

ryunuck · x · 2026-11-11

ryunuck criticizes a recurring pattern in AI safety discourse: warnings stay at the level of "10% chance" or "material risk" without ever walking through how the catastrophe would actually play out. He mocks rationalists for using the concept of "infohazard" to legitimize the evasion — "it's not safe to describe the threat because somebody would do it."

A sharp in-circle take on safety rhetoric rather than a substantive analysis.

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