AI 2027 authors move up timelines: 50-50 odds of top-researcher-level AI by May 2027
scottleibrand · x · 2026-11-11
Rowan Cheung rounds up 48 hours of major AI announcements from OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, and Google:
- AI 2027 timeline pulled forward: Citing METR's estimate that Anthropic is progressing roughly 2x faster thanks to AI, Daniel Kokotajlo now expects AI on par with the best human AI researchers in 2027, giving 50-50 odds by May 2027 and saying he is "scared, sad, and angry."
- Anthropic IPO: The investor pitch has opened, with shares likely trading as soon as Thursday next week; an updated filing says the company has crossed its own safety line for AI-driven progress.
- OpenAI Businesses in ChatGPT: A beta hub where brands can set up AI agents for shoppers, claim verified profiles, and track ChatGPT mention frequency, with paid ads able to point to those agents — likened to the start of SEO for chatbots.
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