AI 2027 author says new METR report implies intelligence explosion on track for 2027
TheWorthyHouse · x · 2026-11-11
Daniel Kokotajlo, co-author of the AI 2027 scenario and former OpenAI researcher, published a long analysis arguing that the new METR report—if right—implies an AI-driven acceleration about 5 months ahead of his AI 2027 timeline, meaning the intelligence explosion may indeed land around 2027. He wrote he feels "scared, sad, and angry." Skeptic TheWorthyHouse replied: "Nothing notable is going to happen. Bookmark this." The clash over METR's latest evidence is a focal point of current capability-forecast debates.
Related event: AI 2027 Team Moves Up Timeline: Intelligence Explosion May Come in 2027(35 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- The worst AI use signals you don't care about things you should care about — Afinetheorem · 2026-11-12
- Worst AI use: signaling you don't care about things you should — Afinetheorem · 2026-11-12
- Stanford HAI blueprint: 56 US agencies report 3,611 AI use cases, evaluation lags — StanfordHAI · 2026-11-12
- Fleuret amplifies debate: AI can't slash wet-lab experiments in unmapped biology — francoisfleuret · 2026-11-12
- Recursive bets on open-endedness: agents running massive parallel experiments like scientist communities — agihouse_org · 2026-11-12
- Recursive's Tim Shi maps recursive self-improvement: from learning data to discovering architectures — agihouse_org · 2026-11-12