FRI urged to update AI timeline report after METR's crucial new data
austinc3301 · x · 2026-11-11
austinc3301 publicly urged the Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) to publish a quick follow-up or update to its expert survey on AI capability timelines, arguing that METR's new report is "the most critical update we've gotten on this in a long time" and would materially shift expert forecasts.
He contends the FRI report went out obsolete and the expert input window should have been extended so respondents could incorporate METR's data — a crux the forecasting community considers highly time-sensitive.
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