Poll: 70% say Anthropic's best internal model plus $50M can dominate any human expert

JacquesThibs · x · 2026-11-11

NunoSempere polled: does Anthropic's best internal model + $50M data-gathering budget + 3 months currently dominate any single human expert at any single task? Of 107 votes, 41% said definitely yes, 29% probably yes, 20% probably not, 10% definitely not — 70% leaning yes.

Quote-retweeting it, JacquesThibs argues such results show people are naively updating on short timelines without understanding where AI capabilities come from — though he agrees timelines may be short, he thinks a takeover in the next 3 years is extremely unlikely.

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