AI Futures Project pulls AGI timeline 5 months earlier than AI 2027 scenario
Gab1024 · reddit · 2026-11-11
AI Futures Project updated its timelines model based on recent METR data, now 5 months faster than the original AI 2027 scenario. The example trajectory has an Automated Coder arriving Nov 27, 2026, Superhuman AI Researcher on Apr 12, 2027, and ASI on Jul 1, 2027, assuming 705x serial coding uplift as of Aug 2026 doubling every 3 months. The authors caution the ECI trend fits history poorly and present this as an illustrative trajectory, not a forecast.
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