13 LLMs with 320 past experiments in context all beat baseline at predicting research payoff

cihangxie · x · 2026-11-11

Can LLMs build a 'Research World Model'? Researchers asked 13 LLMs to predict each research idea's gain before running it, with 320 past experiments in context. All 13 beat the best model given none, suggesting LLMs can acquire a form of research taste and be used to triage experiment proposals.

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