AIFP moves superhuman AI researcher median to May-Nov 2027, citing METR
j_asminewang · x · 2026-11-11
The AI Futures Project updated its timelines: all medians for superhuman AI researcher (SAR) now fall between May and Nov 2027, earlier than before. The team warns public evidence is inadequate — most of the recent METR report was redacted — and calls on AI companies to release more timeline evidence and start pacing the frontier. Daniel Kokotajlo, quoting the update, says the intelligence explosion may arrive in 2027, five months ahead of the AI 2027 scenario: "scared, sad, and angry."
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