FRI report: recursive self-improvement could accelerate inside AI labs before outsiders notice

CFGeek · x · 2026-11-11

The Forecasting Research Institute released a new report on recursive self-improvement (RSI): AI companies increasingly say they may soon reach RSI, and capability progress could then accelerate dramatically inside companies before outsiders can notice. The report reviews the evidence, converts key disagreements into forecasting questions, and provides initial LLM-based forecasts.

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