Elicit table compiles when Musk, Gates, Amodei and others predict diseases will be cured
jungofthewon · x · 2026-11-11
A repost highlights an Elicit page, "Predictions about when diseases will be cured," compiling forecasts:
- 2027: Sean Parker (2017) said "a lot" of cancers would be cured but not all; Elon Musk (2017) said dying from cancer might become unusual; Bill Gates (2025) predicted polio and Guinea worm eradicated within a couple of years.
- 2030: the Gateses (2015) predicted malaria would NOT be fully eradicated by then.
- 2031: Daphne Koller (2026) called curing all diseases in five years "physically impossible"; Dario Amodei (2024) predicted powerful AI arriving in 2026 could eliminate most cancers and reliably prevent/treat nearly all infectious disease within 5–10 years (2031–2036); Novo Nordisk's CEO (2016) said a diabetes cure was 15 years away.
- 2032: Moderna's CEO (2022) predicted most cancers manageable like diabetes within a decade.
Related event: Elicit compiles leaders' predictions on when diseases will be cured(2 posts)→
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