An honest LLM experiment: using web-search news analysis to time dollar exchanges didn't work

zit-hb · reddit · 2026-11-10

The author received some US dollars and wondered whether an LLM constantly analyzing the news could help pick a good time to exchange them. The result: it couldn't. Still, they believe the approach has real potential for compressing public perception into an easy-to-read value, and they've adjusted the setup and upgraded to GPT-5.6 to keep testing. An honest negative-result writeup useful for anyone exploring LLM-driven news sentiment quantification.

Related event: Test Finds LLM News Analysis Fails to Predict Dollar's Exchange Rate(2 posts)→

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